Surveys indicate that Harris, the Democratic candidate, and Trump, the Republican, are virtually tied in the seven most contested states that election analysts consider crucial in determining the outcome of the election.
Former US President Donald Trump's victory in last week's 2024 election for another four-year term in the White House was sweeping.
Ahead of the November 5 national election, national polls show Vice President Kamala Harris with a narrow lead over Trump, perhaps a percentage point or two, depending on the survey.
Surveys indicate that Harris, the Democratic candidate, and Trump, the Republican, are virtually tied in the seven most contested states that election analysts consider crucial in determining the outcome of the election.
However, Trump captured all seven states, giving him a massive lead in the electoral votes in each state, 312 to 226, which determine the outcome of the US presidential election. The number of electoral votes needed to win the presidency is 270. He won all seven states by leads ranging from less than 1 percentage point in Wisconsin to more than 6 percentage points in Arizona.
On January 20, 2025, Trump, 78, will take office as the 47th president and the first president to win two non-consecutive terms since Grover Cleveland in the 1890s. He is the oldest president-elect in American history.
Trump also won the popular vote, the first Republican candidate to do so since former President George W. Bush in 2004.
Although the final ballots are still being counted, Trump has emerged as the clear winner, winning nearly 75 million votes so far, while Harris has won just under 71 million votes, a lead of 50.5 percent to Trump's 47.9 percent.
Trump's vote tally this year is nearly the same as the 74 million he received when he lost the 2020 election to Democrat President Joe Biden. Harris's vote tally is about 10 million fewer than Biden's then.
US pollsters often say that their surveys are just a snapshot in time, and cannot necessarily predict outcomes.
Yet, during Trump's three presidential runs since 2016, his approval rating has consistently been underestimated in polls, no matter how much pollsters have tried to adjust their published results to account for hidden support for Trump from people who are unwilling to say, even anonymously, that they will vote for Trump either in person or by mail.
Exit polls showed that women supported Harris and men supported Trump. More educated voters supported Harris, while those without a college degree favored Trump, but nearly two-thirds of Americans do not have a college degree.
In garnering his majority, Trump split two constituencies that typically support Democrats: black voters and Latino voters.
According to the Associated Press' VoteCast voter survey , 16 percent of Black voters support Trump in 2024, double his 2020 campaign. By comparison, 83 percent of Black voters support Kamala Harris, down from 91 percent who supported Biden in 2020.
Democrats are also losing support among Latino voters, with 56 percent backing Harris in 2024 compared to 63 percent for Biden in 2020. Support for Trump has increased from 35 percent four years ago to 42 percent this year
No comments:
Post a Comment